Logical Analysis Report

Key Focus

  • As president, however, according to former national security adviser John Bolton, Trump had little strategy, and his foreign policy was driven primarily by domestic politics and personal interests.5
    Just before Trump took office, Martin Wolf of The Financial Times described the moment as "the end of both an economic period - that of Western led globalization - and a geopolitical one, the post-cold war 'unipolar moment'of a US-led global order." In that case, Trump may prove to be a turning point in American and world history, particularly if he is re-elected
  • His electoral appeal may turn on domestic politics, but his effect on world politics could be transformational.
    The current debate over Trump revives a longstanding question: Are major historical outcomes the product of political leaders'choices, or are they largely the result of social and economic forces beyond anyone's control
  • Sep 1, 2020
    JOSEPH S. NYE, JR.
    Is Trump a Turning Point in World Politics.
    Will Donald Trump's presidency mark a major turning point in world history, or was it a minor historical accident. Trump's electoral appeal may turn on domestic politics, but his effect on world politics could be transformational, particularly if he gains a second term.
    CAMBRIDGE - As the United States enters the home stretch of the 2020 presidential election campaign, and with neither party's nominating convention featuring much discussion of foreign policy, the contest between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden apparently will be waged mainly on the battleground of domestic issues

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High Level Topics

  • TRUMP
  • ELECTION
  • POLITICS
  • ECONOMIC

    • High Level Abstractions

  • TRUMP(7, 0 Order)
  • ( TRUMP )(7, 0 Order)  top
  • ( TRUMP, POLITICS )(3, 1st Order)  top
  • ( TRUMP, RE-ELECTED )(2, 1st Order)  top
  • ( TRUMP, POLICY )(3, 1st Order)  top
  • ( TRUMP, ELECTION )(3, 1st Order)  top
  • ( TRUMP, ECONOMIC )(4, 1st Order)  top
  • ( TRUMP, AMERICA )(2, 1st Order)  top
  • ( TRUMP, WAGED )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( TRUMP, US-LED )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( TRUMP, UNKNOWABLE )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( TRUMP, UNITED_STATES )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( TRUMP, TRANSACTIONAL )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( TRUMP, THE_FINANCIAL_TIMES )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ELECTION(4, 0 Order)
  • ( ELECTION )(4, 0 Order)  top
  • POLITICS(3, 0 Order)
  • ( POLITICS )(3, 0 Order)  top
  • ECONOMIC(3, 0 Order)
  • ( ECONOMIC )(3, 0 Order)  top

    • References

    • ( TRUMP )  top
    • ( TRUMP, POLITICS )  top
    • (Read more)   top. Trump's electoral appeal may turn on domestic politics, but his effect on world politics could be transformational, particularly if he gains a second term.
      CAMBRIDGE - As the United States enters the home stretch of the 2020 presidential election campaign,...
    • (Read more)   top As president, however, according to former national security adviser John Bolton, Trump had little strategy, and his foreign policy was driven primarily by domestic politics and personal interests.5
      Just before Trump took office, Martin Wolf of The Financial Times described the moment as "the end of both an economic period - that of Western led globalization -...
    • (Read more)   top His electoral appeal may turn on domestic politics, but his effect on world politics could be transformational.
      The current debate over Trump revives a longstanding question: Are major historical outcomes the product of political leaders'choices,...
    • ( TRUMP, RE-ELECTED )  top
    • (Read more)   top
      At this stage, the answer is unknowable, because we do not know if Trump will be re-elected.
    • (Read more)   top ... and a geopolitical one, the post-cold war 'unipolar moment'of a US-led global order." In that case, Trump may prove to be a turning point in American and world history, particularly if he is re-elected.
    • ( TRUMP, POLICY )  top
    • (Read more)   top
      CAMBRIDGE - As the United States enters the home stretch of the 2020 presidential election campaign, and with neither party's nominating convention featuring much discussion of foreign policy, the contest between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden apparently will be waged mainly on the battleground of domestic issues
    • (Read more)   top While he didn't win the popular vote in 2016, Trump successfully linked white resentment over the increasing visibility and influence of racial and ethnic minorities to foreign policy by blaming economic insecurity and wage stagnation on bad trade deals and immigration.
    • (Read more)   top As president, however, according to former national security adviser John Bolton, Trump had little strategy, and his foreign policy was driven primarily by domestic politics and personal interests.5
      Just before Trump took office, Martin Wolf of The Financial Times described the moment as "the end of both an economic period...
    • ( TRUMP, ELECTION )  top
    • (Read more)   top
      CAMBRIDGE - As the United States enters the home stretch of the 2020 presidential election campaign, and with neither party's nominating convention featuring much discussion of foreign policy, the contest between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden apparently will be waged mainly on the...
    • (Read more)   topBut the liberal institutional order continued to enjoy broad support until the 2016 election, when Trump became the first nominee of a major party to attack it. Trump was also a skeptic about foreign intervention, and while he has increased the defense budget, he has used force relatively sparingly.
      Trump's...
    • (Read more)   topContrary to conventional wisdom, however, 64% favored active involvement by the time of the 2016 election, and that number rose to a high of 70% by 2018.
      Trump's election and his populist appeal rested on the economic dislocations that were accentuated by the 2008 Great Recession, but even more...
    • ( TRUMP, ECONOMIC )  top
    • (Read more)   top
      Trump's election and his populist appeal rested on the economic dislocations that were accentuated by the 2008 Great Recession, but even more on polarizing cultural changes related to race, the role of women, and gender identity
    • (Read more)   top While he didn't win the popular vote in 2016, Trump successfully linked white resentment over the increasing visibility and influence of racial and ethnic minorities to foreign policy by blaming economic insecurity and wage stagnation on bad trade deals and immigration.
    • (Read more)   top
      Just before Trump took office, Martin Wolf of The Financial Times described the moment as "the end of both an economic period - that of Western led globalization - and a geopolitical one, the post-cold war 'unipolar moment'of a US-led global order." In that case, Trump may prove to be a turning point in American...
    • (Read more)   top
      The current debate over Trump revives a longstanding question: Are major historical outcomes the product of political leaders'choices, or are they largely the result of social and economic forces beyond anyone's control.
    • ( TRUMP, AMERICA )  top
    • (Read more)   topIn the long run, however, historians will ask whether Trump's presidency was a major turning point in America's role in the world, or just a minor historical accident.
      At this stage, the answer is unknowable, because we do not know if Trump will be re-elected
    • (Read more)   top
      Top-quartile presidents like Franklin D. Roosevelt saw the mistakes of America's isolationism in the 1930s and created a liberal international order after 1945.
    • ( TRUMP, WAGED )  top
    • (Read more)   top ... presidential election campaign, and with neither party's nominating convention featuring much discussion of foreign policy, the contest between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden apparently will be waged mainly on the battleground of domestic issues.
    • ( TRUMP, US-LED )  top
    • (Read more)   top ... Martin Wolf of The Financial Times described the moment as "the end of both an economic period - that of Western led globalization - and a geopolitical one, the post-cold war 'unipolar moment'of a US-led global order." In that case, Trump may prove to be a turning point in American and world history, particularly if he is re-elected
    • ( TRUMP, UNKNOWABLE )  top
    • (Read more)   top
      At this stage, the answer is unknowable, because we do not know if Trump will be re-elected.
    • ( TRUMP, UNITED_STATES )  top
    • (Read more)   top
      CAMBRIDGE - As the United States enters the home stretch of the 2020 presidential election campaign, and with neither party's nominating convention featuring much discussion of foreign policy, the contest between President Donald Trump...
    • ( TRUMP, TRANSACTIONAL )  top
    • (Read more)   top
      Trump's anti-interventionism is relatively popular, but his narrow, transactional definition of US interests, and his skepticism about alliances and multilateral institutions, is not reflective of majority opinion
    • ( TRUMP, THE_FINANCIAL_TIMES )  top
    • (Read more)   top
      Just before Trump took office, Martin Wolf of The Financial Times described the moment as "the end of both an economic period - that of Western led globalization - and a geopolitical one, the post-cold war 'unipolar moment'of a US-led global order."...
    • ( ELECTION )  top
    • (Read more)   top ... politics, but his effect on world politics could be transformational, particularly if he gains a second term. CAMBRIDGE - As the United States enters the home stretch of the 2020 presidential election campaign, and with neither party's nominating convention featuring much discussion of foreign policy, the contest between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden apparently will be waged mainly on the...
    • (Read more)   top... among themselves and with other countries - over military intervention in developing countries like Vietnam and Iraq. But the liberal institutional order continued to enjoy broad support until the 2016 election, when Trump became the first nominee of a major party to attack it. Trump was also a skeptic about foreign intervention, and while he has increased the defense budget, he has used force relatively sparingly. Trump's...
    • (Read more)   top... third of the American public has been consistently isolationist, reaching a high point of 41% in 2014. Contrary to conventional wisdom, however, 64% favored active involvement by the time of the 2016 election, and that number rose to a high of 70% by 2018. Trump's election and his populist appeal rested on the economic dislocations that were accentuated by the 2008 Great Recession, but even more...
    • (Read more)   topAfter World War II, the US response to Soviet ambitions might have been very different had Henry Wallace (who was replaced as vice president on the Roosevelt ticket for the 1944 election), not Truman, been president. After the 1952 election, an isolationist Robert Taft administration or an assertive Douglas MacArthur presidency might have disrupted the relatively smooth consolidation of...
    • ( POLITICS )  top
    • (Read more)   top ... Turning Point in World Politics. Will Donald Trump's presidency mark a major turning point in world history, or was it a minor historical accident. Trump's electoral appeal may turn on domestic politics, but his effect on world politics could be transformational, particularly if he gains a second term. CAMBRIDGE - As the United States enters the home stretch of the 2020 presidential election...
    • (Read more)   top As president, however, according to former national security adviser John Bolton, Trump had little strategy, and his foreign policy was driven primarily by domestic politics and personal interests.5 Just before Trump took office, Martin Wolf of The Financial Times described the moment as "the end of both an economic period - that of Western led globalization...
    • (Read more)   top His electoral appeal may turn on domestic politics, but his effect on world politics could be transformational. The current debate over Trump revives a longstanding question: Are major historical outcomes the product of political leaders'choices,...
    • ( ECONOMIC )  top
    • (Read more)   top... conventional wisdom, however, 64% favored active involvement by the time of the 2016 election, and that number rose to a high of 70% by 2018. Trump's election and his populist appeal rested on the economic dislocations that were accentuated by the 2008 Great Recession, but even more on polarizing cultural changes related to race, the role of women, and gender identity
    • (Read more)   top While he didn't win the popular vote in 2016, Trump successfully linked white resentment over the increasing visibility and influence of racial and ethnic minorities to foreign policy by blaming economic insecurity and wage stagnation on bad trade deals and immigration. As president, however, according to former national security adviser John Bolton, Trump had little strategy, and his foreign policy...
    • (Read more)   top ... transformational. The current debate over Trump revives a longstanding question: Are major historical outcomes the product of political leaders'choices, or are they largely the result of social and economic forces beyond anyone's control. Sometimes, history seems like a rushing river whose course is shaped by precipitation and topography, and leaders are simply ants clinging to a log in the current