Complex Event Analysis - Report 2020/03/22

No momentum supporting factor found

Challenge supporting factors

  • (asymptomatic, china, hong_kong)
  • (asymptomatic, china, virus)
  • (asymptomatic, china, presymptomatic)
  • (asymptomatic, hong_kong)
  • (asymptomatic, china, countries)
  • (asymptomatic, countries)
  • (asymptomatic, virus)
  • (asymptomatic, china, undocumented)
  • (asymptomatic, undocumented)
  • (asymptomatic, presymptomatic)
  • Work-in-progress supporting factors

  • (asymptomatic, china, countries)
  • (asymptomatic, disease_control)
  • (asymptomatic, positive)
  • Complex Event Time Series Summary - REPORT


    Time PeriodChallengeMomentumWIP
    Report 2020/03/2282.82 0.00 17.18

    High Level Abstraction (HLA) combined

    High Level Abstraction (HLA)Report 2020/03/22
    (1) (asymptomatic,china,hong_kong)100.00
    (2) (asymptomatic,china,countries)87.61
    (3) (asymptomatic,china,virus)70.70
    (4) (asymptomatic,china,presymptomatic)54.08
    (5) (asymptomatic,hong_kong)48.17
    (6) (asymptomatic,countries)39.15
    (7) (asymptomatic,virus)34.93
    (8) (asymptomatic,china,undocumented)31.27
    (9) (asymptomatic,undocumented)29.58
    (10) (asymptomatic,presymptomatic)23.66
    (11) (asymptomatic,china,positive)22.82
    (12) (asymptomatic,positive)22.54
    (13) (asymptomatic,disease_control)14.65
    (14) (asymptomatic,china,wuhan)11.83
    (15) (asymptomatic,china,worldwide)9.01
    (16) (asymptomatic,china,unrecognised)6.76
    (17) (asymptomatic,university)4.51
    (18) (asymptomatic,china,university)4.23
    (19) (asymptomatic,infection)2.54
    (20) (asymptomatic,health)1.41
    (21) (asymptomatic,experts)0.28

    Complex Event Analysis - REPORT 2020/03/22

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    Supporting narratives:

    • challenge (Read more)
      • 334 of whom were asymptomatic, according to official Japanese figures.
        An EU report has put the proportion of asymptomatic cases in Italy at 44 per cent, but in most parts of the country people without symptoms are not tested.
        Viruses aren.t just a threat to public health, they are essential to life on Earth
        21 Mar 2020
        In Hong Kong, 16 of the 138 confirmed cases as of March 14 were asymptomatic or presymptomatic, according to Ho Pak-leung, a professor with the microbiology department of the University of Hong Kong.
        All of these numbers point to a significantly higher ratio of asymptomatic cases than indicated by data publicly released by China so far
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (asymptomatic,university)
        • (asymptomatic,china,university)
        • (asymptomatic,hong_kong)
        • (asymptomatic,china,hong_kong)
        • (asymptomatic,health)
        • (asymptomatic,china,presymptomatic)
        • (asymptomatic,presymptomatic)
        • Inferred entity relationships (11)
        • (asymptomatic,china,presymptomatic) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,countries) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,virus) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,university) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,positive) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,hong_kong) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,wuhan) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,worldwide) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,undocumented) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,unrecognised) [inferred]
        • (china,hong_kong) [inferred]

    • challenge (Read more)
      • There were 889 asymptomatic patients among the 44,672 confirmed cases as of February 11, epidemiologists from the Chinese Centre for Disease Control and Prevention wrote in a paper published online in JAMA Network Open on February 24.
        The WHO has said the role of asymptomatic transmissions in the spread of the disease was not clear, but carriers without symptoms were unlikely to be a key factor overall.
        However, some scientists are asking whether asymptomatic and presymptomatic transmissions have been underestimated.
        A joint study by experts in China, the US, Britain and Hong Kong estimated that undocumented cases of the pneumonia, mostly with mild or even no symptoms, were the source of infection for 79 per cent of documented ones before Wuhan was locked down on January 23.
        .These undocumented infections often experience mild, limited, or no symptoms and hence go unrecognised, and, depending on their contagiousness and numbers, can expose a far greater portion of the population to the virus than would otherwise occur,
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (asymptomatic,china,undocumented)
        • (asymptomatic,china,wuhan)
        • (asymptomatic,china,hong_kong)
        • (asymptomatic,infection)
        • (asymptomatic,china,presymptomatic)
        • (asymptomatic,experts)
        • (asymptomatic,undocumented)
        • (asymptomatic,china,unrecognised)
        • Inferred entity relationships (12)
        • (asymptomatic,china,presymptomatic) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,countries) [inferred]
        • (china,wuhan) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,virus) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,university) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,positive) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,hong_kong) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,wuhan) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,worldwide) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,undocumented) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,unrecognised) [inferred]
        • (china,hong_kong) [inferred]

    • challenge (Read more)
      • could be as high as one-third of those who test positive, according to classified Chinese government data seen by the South China Morning Post.
        That could further complicate the strategies being used by countries to contain the virus, which has infected more than 280,000 people and killed nearly 13,000 globally.
        More than 43,000 people in China had tested positive for Covid-19 by the end of February but had no immediate symptoms, a condition typically known as asymptomatic, according to the data
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (asymptomatic,china,countries)
        • (asymptomatic,china,positive)
        • (asymptomatic,countries)
        • (asymptomatic,china,virus)
        • (asymptomatic,virus)
        • (asymptomatic,positive)
        • Inferred entity relationships (12)
        • (asymptomatic,china,presymptomatic) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,countries) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,virus) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,university) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,positive) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,hong_kong) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,wuhan) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,worldwide) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,undocumented) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,unrecognised) [inferred]
        • (china,countries) [inferred]
        • (china,virus) [inferred]

    • challenge (Read more)
      • There were 889 asymptomatic patients among the 44,672 confirmed cases as of February 11, epidemiologists from the Chinese Centre for Disease Control and Prevention wrote in a paper published online in JAMA Network Open on February 24.
        The WHO has said the role of asymptomatic transmissions in the spread of the disease was not clear, but carriers without symptoms were unlikely to be a key factor overall.
        However, some scientists are asking whether asymptomatic and presymptomatic transmissions have been underestimated.
        A joint study by experts in China, the US, Britain and Hong Kong estimated that undocumented cases of the pneumonia, mostly with mild or even no symptoms, were the source of infection for 79 per cent of documented ones before Wuhan was locked down on January 23.
        .These undocumented infections often experience mild, limited, or no symptoms and hence go unrecognised, and, depending on their contagiousness and numbers, can expose a far greater portion of the population to the virus than would otherwise occur,.
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (asymptomatic,china,virus)
        • Inferred entity relationships (10)
        • (asymptomatic,china,worldwide) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,presymptomatic) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,countries) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,university) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,undocumented) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,unrecognised) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,positive) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,hong_kong) [inferred]
        • (china,virus) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,wuhan) [inferred]

    • challenge (Read more)
      • A report by the WHO.s international mission after a trip to China estimated that asymptomatic infections accounted for 1 to 3 per cent of cases, according to a European Union paper.
        .The number of novel coronavirus (Covid-19) cases worldwide continues to grow, and the gap between reports from China and statistical estimates of incidence based on cases diagnosed outside China indicates that a substantial number of cases are underdiagnosed,
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (asymptomatic,china,worldwide)
        • Inferred entity relationships (9)
        • (asymptomatic,china,presymptomatic) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,countries) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,virus) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,university) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,undocumented) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,unrecognised) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,positive) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,hong_kong) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,wuhan) [inferred]

    • challenge (Read more)
      • he said, referring to how the respiratory virus is transmitted.
        Are medicines to prevent and cure the coronavirus disease within reach.
        Benjamin Cowling, an epidemiology and biostatistics professor at the University of Hong Kong, said there was .clear evidence that infected persons could transmit infection before symptoms appear..
        .There are many reports of transmission around one to two days before symptom onset,
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (asymptomatic,hong_kong)
        • (asymptomatic,virus)
        • (asymptomatic,university)
        • (asymptomatic,infection)

    • challenge (Read more)
      • he said, referring to how the respiratory virus is transmitted.
        Are medicines to prevent and cure the coronavirus disease within reach.
        Benjamin Cowling, an epidemiology and biostatistics professor at the University of Hong Kong, said there was .clear evidence that infected persons could transmit infection before symptoms appear..
        .There are many reports of transmission around one to two days before symptom onset,. he said.
        A better understanding of asymptomatic cases could lead to adjustments in public health policy, experts said.
        .The asymptomatic ratio.
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (asymptomatic,health)

    • WIP (Read more)
      • More than 20 per cent of the asymptomatic cases reported to the Korea Centres for Disease Control and Prevention remained without symptoms until they were discharged from hospital.
        .Korea currently has a significantly higher rate of asymptomatic cases than other countries, perhaps due to our extensive testing,.
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (asymptomatic,china,countries)
        • Inferred entity relationships (10)
        • (asymptomatic,china,worldwide) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,presymptomatic) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,virus) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,university) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,undocumented) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,unrecognised) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,positive) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,hong_kong) [inferred]
        • (china,countries) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,wuhan) [inferred]

    • WIP (Read more)
      • are the most comparable to China.s. More than 20 per cent of the asymptomatic cases reported to the Korea Centres for Disease Control and Prevention remained without symptoms until they were discharged from hospital.
        .Korea currently has a significantly higher rate of asymptomatic cases than other countries, perhaps due to our extensive testing,
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (asymptomatic,china,disease_control)
        • (asymptomatic,disease_control)
        • Inferred entity relationships (10)
        • (asymptomatic,china,worldwide) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,presymptomatic) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,countries) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,virus) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,university) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,undocumented) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,unrecognised) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,positive) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,hong_kong) [inferred]
        • (asymptomatic,china,wuhan) [inferred]

    • WIP (Read more)
      • Jeong Eun-kyeong, director of South Korea.s CDC, told a press briefing on March 16.
        Another useful point of reference is the data collected from the Diamond Princess cruise ship, which was quarantined for weeks in Yokohama, Japan. All of its passengers and crew were tested, with 712 people testing positive. 334 of whom were asymptomatic, according to official Japanese figures.
        An EU report has put the proportion of asymptomatic cases in Italy at 44 per cent, but in most parts of the country people without symptoms are not tested.
        Viruses aren.t just a threat to public health, they are essential to life on Earth
        21 Mar 2020
        In Hong Kong, 16 of the 138 confirmed cases as of March 14 were asymptomatic or presymptomatic, according to Ho Pak-leung, a professor with the microbiology department of the University of Hong Kong.
        All of these numbers point to a significantly higher ratio of asymptomatic cases than indicated by data publicly released by China so far
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (asymptomatic,positive)

    Target rule match count: 25.0 Challenge: 0.41 Momentum: 0.00 WIP: 0.09