Complex Event Analysis - Report

Key Focus

  • Like surfers looking out for the next big breaker before the first one has passed, epidemiologists and public-health officials in the United States are bracing themselves for a fresh surge of COVID-19 infections later this year. The fear is that this second wave will coincide with the peak of the 2020-21 U.S. influenza season, triggering a new flood of hospital patients in dire need of respiratory support.
    The fear is justified, based on what we know about coronaviruses and influenza

    • No momentum supporting factor found

    No challenge supporting factor found

    Work-in-progress supporting factors

  • (fear, influenza)
  • (coronaviruses, influenza)
  • (influenza, united_states)
  • (influenza, sars-cov-2)
  • (infection, influenza)
  • (cold-causing, influenza)
  • (coincide, influenza)

    • Complex Event Time Series Summary - REPORT


    Time PeriodChallengeMomentumWIP
    Report0.00 0.00 100.00

    High Level Abstraction (HLA) combined

    High Level Abstraction (HLA)Report
    (1) (fear,influenza)100.00
    (2) (coronaviruses,influenza)85.71
    (3) (influenza,united_states)71.43
    (4) (influenza,sars-cov-2)57.14
    (5) (infection,influenza)42.86
    (6) (cold-causing,influenza)28.57
    (7) (coincide,influenza)14.29

    Complex Event Analysis - REPORT

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    Supporting narratives:

    • WIP (Read more)
      • Like surfers looking out for the next big breaker before the first one has passed, epidemiologists and public-health officials in the United States are bracing themselves for a fresh surge of COVID-19 infections later this year. The fear is that this second wave will coincide with the peak of the 2020-21 U.S. influenza season, triggering a new flood of hospital patients in dire need of respiratory support.
        The fear is justified, based on what we know about coronaviruses and influenza
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (fear,influenza)
        • (coincide,influenza)
        • (influenza,united_states)

    • WIP (Read more)
      • But it will also depend on our own behavior and how readily we spread the infection to others.
        Compared to influenza viruses, the behavior of SARS-CoV-2 is a much greater unknown. What we infer is mostly based on the behavior of the four cold-causing coronaviruses that have been circulating in the U.S. since at least the 1960s, when they were first discovered.
        The seasonal appearance of these viruses closely resembles that of influenza, except that infections do not disappear in the summer months; instead, they continue at a reduced frequency
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (cold-causing,influenza)
        • (coronaviruses,influenza)
        • (influenza,sars-cov-2)

    • WIP (Read more)
      • But it will also depend on our own behavior and how readily we spread the infection to others.
        Compared to influenza viruses, the behavior of SARS-CoV-2 is a much greater unknown
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (infection,influenza)

    Target rule match count: 7.0 Challenge: 0.00 Momentum: 0.00 WIP: 0.50