Complex Event Analysis - Report

Key Focus

  • Financial conditions have improved, in part reflecting policy measures to support the economy and the flow of credit to U.S. households and businesses.
    The ongoing public health crisis will weigh heavily on economic activity, employment, and inflation in the near term, and poses considerable risks to the economic outlook over the medium term.
  • In determining the timing and size of future adjustments to the stance of monetary policy, the Committee will assess realized and expected economic conditions relative to its maximum employment objective and its symmetric 2 percent inflation objective. This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international developments.
    To support the flow of credit to households and businesses, over coming months the Federal Reserve will increase its holdings of Treasury securities and agency residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities at least at the current pace to sustain smooth market functioning, thereby fostering effective transmission of monetary policy to broader financial conditions
  • No momentum supporting factor found

    Challenge supporting factors

  • (economic, employment, monetary)
  • (economic, monetary)
  • (economic, inflation, monetary, policy)
  • (economic, monetary, policy)
  • (economic, employment, inflation, policy)
  • (economic, policy, symmetric)
  • Work-in-progress supporting factors

  • (economic, inflation)
  • (economic, households, inflation, policy)
  • (credit, economic, inflation, policy)
  • (economic, employment, inflation)
  • (economic, inflation, monetary, policy)
  • (economic, employment, households)
  • (economic, households)
  • (economic, households, policy)
  • (economic, employment, policy)
  • (economic, employment, inflation, policy)
  • Complex Event Time Series Summary - REPORT


    Time PeriodChallengeMomentumWIP
    Report18.50 0.00 81.50

    High Level Abstraction (HLA) combined

    High Level Abstraction (HLA)Report
    (1) (economic,inflation)100.00
    (2) (economic,inflation,monetary,policy)93.07
    (3) (economic,households,inflation,policy)81.93
    (4) (economic,employment,inflation,policy)75.00
    (5) (credit,economic,inflation,policy)54.95
    (6) (economic,employment,inflation)51.24
    (7) (economic,employment,monetary)48.51
    (8) (economic,monetary)47.77
    (9) (economic,monetary,policy)45.05
    (10) (economic,employment,households)44.31
    (11) (economic,households)43.07
    (12) (economic,households,policy)41.83
    (13) (economic,employment,policy)39.11
    (14) (credit,economic)36.14
    (15) (businesses,economic,inflation,policy)36.14
    (16) (credit,economic,employment)34.90
    (17) (credit,economic,policy)32.18
    (18) (businesses,economic,employment)25.50
    (19) (businesses,economic,policy)22.77
    (20) (economic,policy,symmetric)14.11
    (21) (economic,economy,employment)13.12
    (22) (economic,economy)12.62
    (23) (economic,health)0.74

    Complex Event Analysis - REPORT

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    Supporting narratives:

    • challenge (Read more)
      • In determining the timing and size of future adjustments to the stance of monetary policy, the Committee will assess realized and expected economic conditions relative to its maximum employment objective and its symmetric 2 percent inflation objective
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (economic,monetary,policy)
        • (economic,employment,monetary)
        • (economic,monetary)
        • (economic,inflation,monetary,policy)
        • Inferred entity relationships (10)
        • (economic,employment,households) [inferred]
        • (economic,inflation) [inferred]
        • (economic,employment,inflation,policy) [inferred]
        • (monetary,policy) [inferred]
        • (economic,employment,inflation) [inferred]
        • (economic,employment,policy) [inferred]
        • (employment,monetary) [inferred]
        • (economic,monetary) [inferred]
        • (economic,monetary,policy) [inferred]
        • (monetary,policy,wage) [inferred]

    • challenge (Read more)
      • In determining the timing and size of future adjustments to the stance of monetary policy, the Committee will assess realized and expected economic conditions relative to its maximum employment objective and its symmetric 2 percent inflation objective.
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (economic,policy,symmetric)
        • (economic,employment,inflation,policy)
        • Inferred entity relationships (18)
        • (economic,employment,households) [inferred]
        • (economic,policy,the_fomc) [inferred]
        • (economic,policy,risk) [inferred]
        • (economic,policy,usmca) [inferred]
        • (economic,inflation) [inferred]
        • (economic,employment,monetary) [inferred]
        • (economic,policy) [inferred]
        • (economic,policy,simultaneous) [inferred]
        • (economic,policy,trade) [inferred]
        • (economic,employment,inflation) [inferred]
        • (economic,policy,wage) [inferred]
        • (economic,employment,policy) [inferred]
        • (economic,inflation,monetary,policy) [inferred]
        • (economic,policy,regulatory) [inferred]
        • (economic,policy,reverse-infect) [inferred]
        • (economic,policy,workforce) [inferred]
        • (economic,policy,post-pandemic_economies) [inferred]
        • (economic,policy,societal) [inferred]

    • WIP (Read more)
      • Financial conditions have improved, in part reflecting policy measures to support the economy and the flow of credit to U.S. households and businesses.
        The ongoing public health crisis will weigh heavily on economic activity, employment, and inflation in the near term, and poses considerable risks to the economic outlook over the medium term.
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (economic,employment,inflation)
        • (economic,employment,policy)
        • (economic,employment,inflation,policy)
        • (economic,inflation)
        • Inferred entity relationships (7)
        • (economic,employment,households) [inferred]
        • (employment,policy) [inferred]
        • (economic,employment,policy) [inferred]
        • (economic,inflation,monetary,policy) [inferred]
        • (economic,employment,monetary) [inferred]
        • (economic,employment,inflation,policy) [inferred]
        • (economic,employment,inflation) [inferred]

    • WIP (Read more)
      • In determining the timing and size of future adjustments to the stance of monetary policy, the Committee will assess realized and expected economic conditions relative to its maximum employment objective and its symmetric 2 percent inflation objective. This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international developments.
        To support the flow of credit to households and businesses, over coming months the Federal Reserve will increase its holdings of Treasury securities and agency residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities at least at the current pace to sustain smooth market functioning, thereby fostering effective transmission of monetary policy to broader financial conditions
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (economic,inflation)
        • Inferred entity relationships (1)
        • (economic,inflation,monetary,policy) [inferred]

    • WIP (Read more)
      • This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international developments.
        To support the flow of credit to households and businesses, over coming months the Federal Reserve will increase its holdings of Treasury securities and agency residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities at least at the current pace to sustain smooth market functioning, thereby fostering effective transmission of monetary policy to broader financial conditions.
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (economic,inflation,monetary,policy)
        • Inferred entity relationships (3)
        • (economic,inflation) [inferred]
        • (monetary,policy) [inferred]
        • (monetary,policy,wage) [inferred]

    • WIP (Read more)
      • Financial conditions have improved, in part reflecting policy measures to support the economy and the flow of credit to U.S. households and businesses.
        The ongoing public health crisis will weigh heavily on economic activity, employment, and inflation in the near term, and poses considerable risks to the economic outlook over the medium term
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (businesses,economic,employment)
        • (credit,economic,policy)
        • (economic,households)
        • (businesses,economic,inflation,policy)
        • (economic,employment,households)
        • (economic,health)
        • (credit,economic)
        • (businesses,economic,policy)
        • (credit,economic,employment)
        • (economic,households,policy)
        • (credit,economic,inflation,policy)
        • (economic,households,inflation,policy)
        • (economic,economy,employment)
        • Inferred entity relationships (47)
        • (credit,economic,employment) [inferred]
        • (economic,economy,supervisory) [inferred]
        • (economic,policy,the_fomc) [inferred]
        • (economic,economy,growth) [inferred]
        • (economic,economy,united_states) [inferred]
        • (economic,inflation) [inferred]
        • (economic,economy,speech) [inferred]
        • (businesses,economic,employment) [inferred]
        • (economic,households,inflation,policy) [inferred]
        • (credit,economic,inflation,policy) [inferred]
        • (economic,inflation,monetary,policy) [inferred]
        • (economic,economy,energy) [inferred]
        • (credit,economic) [inferred]
        • (businesses,economic,policy) [inferred]
        • (economic,employment,inflation,policy) [inferred]
        • (economic,policy,trade) [inferred]
        • (economic,economy,trade) [inferred]
        • (economic,employment,inflation) [inferred]
        • (economic,policy,workforce) [inferred]
        • (economic,policy,post-pandemic_economies) [inferred]
        • (economic,policy,societal) [inferred]
        • (economic,households) [inferred]
        • (economic,economy,trump) [inferred]
        • (economic,policy,simultaneous) [inferred]
        • (economic,economy,usmca) [inferred]
        • (businesses,economic) [inferred]
        • (economic,economy) [inferred]
        • (economic,policy,wage) [inferred]
        • (economic,policy,symmetric) [inferred]
        • (economic,policy,regulatory) [inferred]
        • (economic,employment,households) [inferred]
        • (economic,economy,expansion) [inferred]
        • (economy,employment,fed) [inferred]
        • (economic,policy,risk) [inferred]
        • (economic,policy,usmca) [inferred]
        • (economic,employment,monetary) [inferred]
        • (economic,policy) [inferred]
        • (economic,households,policy) [inferred]
        • (economy,employment,policy) [inferred]
        • (businesses,economic,inflation,policy) [inferred]
        • (economic,economy,weather) [inferred]
        • (economic,economy,wage) [inferred]
        • (economic,employment,policy) [inferred]
        • (credit,economic,policy) [inferred]
        • (economic,economy,governor) [inferred]
        • (economic,policy,reverse-infect) [inferred]
        • (economic,economy,policy) [inferred]

    • WIP (Read more)
      • This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international developments.
        To support the flow of credit to households and businesses, over coming months the Federal Reserve will increase its holdings of Treasury securities and agency residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities at least at the current pace to sustain smooth market functioning, thereby fostering effective transmission of monetary policy to broader financial conditions
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (credit,economic,inflation,policy)
        • (businesses,economic,inflation,policy)
        • (economic,households,inflation,policy)
        • Inferred entity relationships (10)
        • (credit,economic,employment) [inferred]
        • (economic,inflation) [inferred]
        • (economic,households) [inferred]
        • (economic,households,policy) [inferred]
        • (businesses,economic) [inferred]
        • (businesses,economic,employment) [inferred]
        • (credit,economic,policy) [inferred]
        • (economic,inflation,monetary,policy) [inferred]
        • (credit,economic) [inferred]
        • (businesses,economic,policy) [inferred]

    • WIP (Read more)
      • The Federal Reserve is committed to using its full range of tools to support the U.S. economy in this challenging time, thereby promoting its maximum employment and price stability goals. The coronavirus outbreak is causing tremendous human and economic hardship across the United States and around the world
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (economic,economy,employment)
        • (economic,economy)
        • Inferred entity relationships (17)
        • (economic,economy,supervisory) [inferred]
        • (economic,economy,expansion) [inferred]
        • (economic,economy,growth) [inferred]
        • (economy,employment,fed) [inferred]
        • (economic,economy,united_states) [inferred]
        • (economic,economy,employment) [inferred]
        • (economic,economy,trump) [inferred]
        • (economic,economy,trade) [inferred]
        • (economic,economy,usmca) [inferred]
        • (economic,economy,speech) [inferred]
        • (economy,employment,policy) [inferred]
        • (economic,economy) [inferred]
        • (economic,economy,weather) [inferred]
        • (economic,economy,wage) [inferred]
        • (economic,economy,energy) [inferred]
        • (economic,economy,governor) [inferred]
        • (economic,economy,policy) [inferred]

    • WIP (Read more)
      • The coronavirus outbreak is causing tremendous human and economic hardship across the United States and around the world. The virus and the measures taken to protect public health have induced sharp declines in economic activity and a surge in job losses.
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (economic,health)

    Target rule match count: 55.0 Challenge: 0.09 Momentum: 0.00 WIP: 0.41