Key Focus

  • Demand would fall by 80% in entertainment, arts, recreation, restaurants, and lodging (for 3 months).
    Retail trade would fall by 25%.
    The demand for medical and hospital services would surge.
    And, a fear of travel, coupled with government-imposed restrictions, would lead to a dramatic decline in domestic and international travel
  • It represents the hit the economy takes from hospitalizations, deaths, lost productivity, and a consequent slowdown in the flow of goods and services.


To understand how to read this report, please click here

Knowledge Graph(Read more)

Complex Event Analysis(Read more)


High Level Topics

  • ECONOMIC
  • VIRUS
  • VACCINE
  • FLU
  • High Level Abstractions

  • ECONOMIC(6, 0 Order)
  • ( ECONOMIC )(6, 0 Order)  top
  • ( ECONOMIC, SERVICES )(2, 1st Order)  top
  • ( ECONOMIC, POLICY )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( ECONOMIC, FEAR )(2, 1st Order)  top
  • ( ECONOMIC, ECONOMY )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( ECONOMIC, CANADA )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • VIRUS(7, 0 Order)
  • ( VIRUS )(7, 0 Order)  top
  • ( VIRUS, OUTBREAK )(3, 1st Order)  top
  • ( VIRUS, HEALTH )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( VIRUS, H5N1 )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( VIRUS, COUNTRIES )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( VIRUS, AVIAN )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( VIRUS, VACCINE )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( VIRUS, UNFAMILIAR )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( VIRUS, TENTACLES )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( VIRUS, REFORM )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( VIRUS, PROGRESSIVELY )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( VIRUS, PRE-EXISTING )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( VIRUS, KILLING )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • VACCINE(6, 0 Order)
  • ( VACCINE )(6, 0 Order)  top
  • ( VACCINE, MANUFACTURING )(2, 1st Order)  top
  • ( VACCINE, TECHNOLOGY )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( VACCINE, HEALTH )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( VACCINE, CELL-BASED )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( VACCINE, UNCERTAINLY )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( VACCINE, SAFETY )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( VACCINE, REFORM )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( VACCINE, PROFIT )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( VACCINE, GLOBAL )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( VACCINE, FRISTCONTRIBUTOR )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( VACCINE, FLU )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • FLU(5, 0 Order)
  • ( FLU )(5, 0 Order)  top
  • ( FLU, VIRUS )(2, 1st Order)  top
  • ( FLU, TECHNOLOGY )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( FLU, GLOBAL )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( FLU, COUNTRIES )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( FLU, CELL-BASED )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( FLU, AVIAN )(3, 1st Order)  top
  • ( FLU, TENTACLES )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( FLU, STRIKES )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( FLU, PROGRESSIVELY )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( FLU, OUTBREAK )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • ( FLU, MANUFACTURING )(1, 1st Order)  top
  • References

    • ( ECONOMIC )  top
    • ( ECONOMIC, SERVICES )  top
    • (Read more)   topIt represents the hit the economy takes from hospitalizations, deaths, lost productivity, and a consequent slowdown in the flow of goods and services.
    • (Read more)   top
      The demand for medical and hospital services would surge.
      And, a fear of travel, coupled with government-imposed restrictions, would lead to a dramatic decline in domestic and international travel
    • ( ECONOMIC, POLICY )  top
    • (Read more)   topBy immediately outlining and implementing a specific policy prescription, we can minimize not only the direct economic effects of a pandemic, but perhaps more significant, greatly reduce the costly indirect effects of panic, fear and paralysis
    • ( ECONOMIC, FEAR )  top
    • (Read more)   top
      And, a fear of travel, coupled with government-imposed restrictions, would lead to a dramatic decline in domestic and international travel
    • (Read more)   top... and implementing a specific policy prescription, we can minimize not only the direct economic effects of a pandemic, but perhaps more significant, greatly reduce the costly indirect effects of panic, fear and paralysis.
    • ( ECONOMIC, ECONOMY )  top
    • (Read more)   topthe pandemic's impact on our economy.
      "When a pandemic strikes, exactly how devastating will the economic fallout be."
      That is the question I'll answer today
    • ( ECONOMIC, CANADA )  top
    • (Read more)   topAnd in Canada.where fewer than 500 people were infected.the country suffered more than $1 billion in economic losses
    • ( VIRUS )  top
    • ( VIRUS, OUTBREAK )  top
    • (Read more)   topThe Hong Kong outbreak signaled that the H5N1 strain had satisfied 2 of 3 prerequisites for a pandemic:
      1st: the H5N1 strain was a novel type of virus, to which no human being has any pre-existing immunity
    • (Read more)   top
      Since the 1997 outbreak, the avian flu has progressively and relentlessly spread across 16 countries. From Hong Kong, the virus has stretched its tentacles into and Croatia.infecting 135 humans, and killing 69 (in 5 countries...
    • (Read more)   top
      "Is there a modern example of a viral outbreak that we can learn from."
      And the answer is yes.the 2003 outbreak of the SARS virus
    • ( VIRUS, HEALTH )  top
    • (Read more)   top We Failed To Act On Pandemic Preparedness After SARS - FristContributor
      Policy
      I cover global and domestic health care and health care reform.
      We will vanquish the COVID-19 virus.
      Effective treatments are beginning to emerge and there will be a time in the future when a vaccine is developed
    • ( VIRUS, H5N1 )  top
    • (Read more)   topThe Hong Kong outbreak signaled that the H5N1 strain had satisfied 2 of 3 prerequisites for a pandemic:
      1st: the H5N1 strain was a novel type of virus, to which no human being has any pre-existing immunity
    • ( VIRUS, COUNTRIES )  top
    • (Read more)   top
      Since the 1997 outbreak, the avian flu has progressively and relentlessly spread across 16 countries. From Hong Kong, the virus has stretched its tentacles into and Croatia.infecting 135 humans, and killing 69 (in 5 countries - Cambodia, China, Indonesia, Thailand, Viet Nam)
    • ( VIRUS, AVIAN )  top
    • (Read more)   topMore alarming, the right mix of genes could allow for sustained human-to-human transmission: an avian pandemic would launch to life.
      Since the 1997 outbreak, the avian flu has progressively and relentlessly spread across 16 countries
    • ( VIRUS, VACCINE )  top
    • (Read more)   top
      Effective treatments are beginning to emerge and there will be a time in the future when a vaccine is developed.
    • ( VIRUS, UNFAMILIAR )  top
    • (Read more)   top
      The resulting mix will be totally unfamiliar to the human immune system which normally fights infections .meaning that human beings will have no natural immunity to it
    • ( VIRUS, TENTACLES )  top
    • (Read more)   top. From Hong Kong, the virus has stretched its tentacles into and Croatia.infecting 135 humans, and killing 69 (in 5 countries - Cambodia, China, Indonesia, Thailand, Viet Nam)
    • ( VIRUS, REFORM )  top
    • (Read more)   top We Failed To Act On Pandemic Preparedness After SARS - FristContributor
      Policy
      I cover global and domestic health care and health care reform.
      We
      will vanquish the COVID-19 virus.
      Effective treatments are beginning to emerge and there will be a time in the future when a vaccine is developed
    • ( VIRUS, PROGRESSIVELY )  top
    • (Read more)   top
      Since the 1997 outbreak, the avian flu has progressively and relentlessly spread across 16 countries. From Hong Kong, the virus has stretched its tentacles into and Croatia.infecting 135 humans, and killing 69 (in 5 countries - Cambodia, China, Indonesia, Thailand, Viet Nam)
    • ( VIRUS, PRE-EXISTING )  top
    • (Read more)   top The Hong Kong outbreak signaled that the H5N1 strain had satisfied 2 of 3 prerequisites for a pandemic:
      1st: the H5N1 strain was a novel type of virus, to which no human being has any pre-existing immunity.
      2nd: The virus could reproduce in humans and cause serious illness.
    • ( VIRUS, KILLING )  top
    • (Read more)   top.infecting 135 humans, and killing 69 (in 5 countries - Cambodia, China, Indonesia, Thailand, Viet Nam).
    • ( VACCINE )  top
    • ( VACCINE, MANUFACTURING )  top
    • (Read more)   top
      We have a dangerously inadequate vaccine manufacturing base in this country. Bottom-line: there's so little profit and so much uncertainly in vaccine manufacturing today.
      30 years ago there were 24 vaccine manufacturers
    • (Read more)   top. By investing in cell-based manufacturing technology, rather than relying on antiquated egg-based technology, the window for bug to drug can be cut from a year to less than six months
    • ( VACCINE, TECHNOLOGY )  top
    • (Read more)   top. By investing in cell-based manufacturing technology, rather than relying on antiquated egg-based technology, the window for bug to drug can be cut from a year to less than six months
    • ( VACCINE, HEALTH )  top
    • (Read more)   topSee ( VIRUS , HEALTH )
    • ( VACCINE, CELL-BASED )  top
    • (Read more)   top
      One example is targeted research for a cell-based flu vaccine. By investing in cell-based manufacturing technology, rather than relying on antiquated egg-based technology, the window for bug to drug can be cut from a year to less than six months
    • ( VACCINE, UNCERTAINLY )  top
    • (Read more)   topWe have a dangerously inadequate vaccine manufacturing base in this country. Bottom-line: there's so little profit and so much uncertainly in vaccine manufacturing today.
      30 years ago there were 24 vaccine manufacturers
    • ( VACCINE, SAFETY )  top
    • (Read more)   top. The stringent safety measures we now have in place will be a thing of the past.
    • ( VACCINE, REFORM )  top
    • (Read more)   topSee ( VIRUS , REFORM )
    • ( VACCINE, PROFIT )  top
    • (Read more)   topWe have a dangerously inadequate vaccine manufacturing base in this country. Bottom-line: there's so little profit and so much uncertainly in vaccine manufacturing today.
      30 years ago there were 24 vaccine manufacturers
    • ( VACCINE, GLOBAL )  top
    • (Read more)   top We Failed To Act On Pandemic Preparedness After SARS - FristContributor
      Policy
      I cover global and domestic health care and health care reform.
      We will vanquish the COVID-19 virus.
      Effective treatments are beginning to emerge and there will be a time in the future when a vaccine is developed
    • ( VACCINE, FRISTCONTRIBUTOR )  top
    • (Read more)   top We Failed To Act On Pandemic Preparedness After SARS - FristContributor
      Policy
      I
      cover global and domestic health care and health care reform.
      We will vanquish the COVID-19 virus.
      Effective treatments are beginning to emerge and there will be a time in the future when a...
    • ( VACCINE, FLU )  top
    • (Read more)   top
      One example is targeted research for a cell-based flu vaccine. By investing in cell-based manufacturing technology, rather than relying on antiquated egg-based technology, the window for bug to drug can be cut from a year to less than six months
    • ( FLU )  top
    • ( FLU, VIRUS )  top
    • (Read more)   top. From Hong Kong, the virus has stretched its tentacles into and Croatia.infecting 135 humans, and killing 69 (in 5 countries - Cambodia, China, Indonesia, Thailand, Viet Nam)
    • (Read more)   top
      The SARS virus infected only 8,000, and killed just 774 (remember the annual seasonal flu kills 30,000 in America every year)
    • ( FLU, TECHNOLOGY )  top
    • (Read more)   topSee ( VACCINE , TECHNOLOGY )
    • ( FLU, GLOBAL )  top
    • (Read more)   top the profound sensitivity of the modern global economy to a contagious, spreading, infectious disease.
      The SARS virus infected only 8,000, and killed just 774 (remember the annual seasonal flu kills 30,000 in America every year)
    • ( FLU, COUNTRIES )  top
    • (Read more)   topSee ( VIRUS , COUNTRIES )
    • ( FLU, CELL-BASED )  top
    • (Read more)   topSee ( VACCINE , CELL-BASED )
    • ( FLU, AVIAN )  top
    • (Read more)   top
      In recent weeks, the growing death toll of the avian flu and the mounting drumbeat of discussion have placed the virus under the microscope of the public eye
    • (Read more)   topSee ( VIRUS , AVIAN )
    • (Read more)   top
      "So, will an avian pandemic today be more severe or less severe than the 1918 avian flu."
      We don't know.
      Scientists who believe that the coming pandemic will be LESS severe cite the dramatic 20th...
    • ( FLU, TENTACLES )  top
    • (Read more)   topSee ( VIRUS , TENTACLES )
    • ( FLU, STRIKES )  top
    • (Read more)   topdepending upon the virulence of the strain that strikes and our capacity to respond.that the ensuing death toll could be devastating.
      In recent weeks, the growing death toll of the avian flu and the mounting drumbeat of discussion have placed the...
    • ( FLU, PROGRESSIVELY )  top
    • (Read more)   topSee ( VIRUS , PROGRESSIVELY )
    • ( FLU, OUTBREAK )  top
    • (Read more)   topSee ( VIRUS , OUTBREAK )
    • ( FLU, MANUFACTURING )  top
    • (Read more)   topSee ( VACCINE , MANUFACTURING )